Add Alpha Shield strategy dispatch (JuniorBees + 60-month SMA allocation)
Introduces STRATEGY_REGISTRY, alpha_shield_allocation(), and compute_weights() in strategy.py. Updates runner.py to dynamically load equity symbol, gold symbol, and SMA window from the registry based on strategy_name, enabling Alpha Shield (JUNIORBEES.NS + GOLDBEES.NS, 60M SMA) alongside Golden Nifty. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
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6027dd3c6f
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3580e123e4
@ -23,10 +23,10 @@ from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.mtm import log_mtm, should_log_mtm
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.state import load_state
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.data import fetch_live_price
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.history import load_monthly_close
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.strategy import allocation
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.strategy import compute_weights, get_strategy_config
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.time_utils import normalize_logical_time
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from app.services.zerodha_service import KiteTokenError
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from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.db import (
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acquire_run_lease,
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db_transaction,
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@ -37,42 +37,42 @@ from indian_paper_trading_strategy.engine.db import (
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get_context,
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set_context,
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)
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def _update_engine_status(user_id: str, run_id: str, status: str):
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now = datetime.utcnow().replace(tzinfo=timezone.utc)
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def _op(cur, _conn):
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cur.execute(
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"""
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INSERT INTO engine_status (user_id, run_id, status, last_updated)
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VALUES (%s, %s, %s, %s)
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ON CONFLICT (user_id, run_id) DO UPDATE
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SET status = EXCLUDED.status,
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last_updated = EXCLUDED.last_updated
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""",
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(user_id, run_id, status, now),
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)
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run_with_retry(_op)
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NIFTY = "NIFTYBEES.NS"
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GOLD = "GOLDBEES.NS"
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SMA_MONTHS = 36
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_DEFAULT_ENGINE_STATE = {
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"state": "STOPPED",
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"run_id": None,
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"user_id": None,
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"last_heartbeat_ts": None,
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}
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def _update_engine_status(user_id: str, run_id: str, status: str):
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now = datetime.utcnow().replace(tzinfo=timezone.utc)
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def _op(cur, _conn):
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cur.execute(
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"""
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INSERT INTO engine_status (user_id, run_id, status, last_updated)
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VALUES (%s, %s, %s, %s)
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ON CONFLICT (user_id, run_id) DO UPDATE
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SET status = EXCLUDED.status,
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last_updated = EXCLUDED.last_updated
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""",
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(user_id, run_id, status, now),
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)
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run_with_retry(_op)
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NIFTY = "NIFTYBEES.NS"
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GOLD = "GOLDBEES.NS"
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SMA_MONTHS = 36 # default for golden_nifty; overridden per strategy
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_DEFAULT_ENGINE_STATE = {
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"state": "STOPPED",
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"run_id": None,
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"user_id": None,
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"last_heartbeat_ts": None,
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}
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_ENGINE_STATES = {}
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_ENGINE_STATES_LOCK = threading.Lock()
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_RUNNERS = {}
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_RUNNERS_LOCK = threading.Lock()
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engine_state = _ENGINE_STATES
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RUNNER_OWNER_ID = os.getenv("RUNNER_OWNER_ID") or f"{socket.gethostname()}:{os.getpid()}:{uuid.uuid4().hex}"
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@ -85,8 +85,8 @@ class RunLeaseNotAcquiredError(RuntimeError):
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self.run_id = run_id
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self.owner_id = owner_id
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self.details = details or {}
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def _state_key(user_id: str, run_id: str):
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return (user_id, run_id)
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@ -118,35 +118,35 @@ def _set_state(user_id: str, run_id: str, **updates):
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def get_engine_state(user_id: str, run_id: str):
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state = _get_state(user_id, run_id)
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return dict(state)
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def log_event(
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event: str,
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data: dict | None = None,
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message: str | None = None,
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meta: dict | None = None,
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):
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entry = {
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"ts": datetime.utcnow().replace(tzinfo=timezone.utc).isoformat(),
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"event": event,
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}
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if message is not None or meta is not None:
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entry["message"] = message or ""
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entry["meta"] = meta or {}
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else:
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entry["data"] = data or {}
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event_ts = datetime.fromisoformat(entry["ts"].replace("Z", "+00:00"))
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data = entry.get("data") if "data" in entry else None
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meta = entry.get("meta") if "meta" in entry else None
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def _op(cur, _conn):
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insert_engine_event(
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cur,
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entry.get("event"),
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data=data,
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message=entry.get("message"),
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meta=meta,
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ts=event_ts,
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)
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event: str,
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data: dict | None = None,
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message: str | None = None,
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meta: dict | None = None,
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):
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entry = {
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"ts": datetime.utcnow().replace(tzinfo=timezone.utc).isoformat(),
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"event": event,
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}
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if message is not None or meta is not None:
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entry["message"] = message or ""
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entry["meta"] = meta or {}
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else:
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entry["data"] = data or {}
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event_ts = datetime.fromisoformat(entry["ts"].replace("Z", "+00:00"))
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data = entry.get("data") if "data" in entry else None
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meta = entry.get("meta") if "meta" in entry else None
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def _op(cur, _conn):
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insert_engine_event(
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cur,
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entry.get("event"),
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data=data,
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message=entry.get("message"),
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meta=meta,
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ts=event_ts,
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)
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run_with_retry(_op)
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@ -228,7 +228,7 @@ def _clear_runner(user_id: str, run_id: str):
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key = _state_key(user_id, run_id)
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with _RUNNERS_LOCK:
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_RUNNERS.pop(key, None)
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def can_execute(now: datetime) -> tuple[bool, str]:
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session = market_session(now)
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status = str(session.get("status") or "CLOSED").upper()
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@ -331,30 +331,34 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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owner_id = config.get("runner_owner_id") or RUNNER_OWNER_ID
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scope_user, scope_run = get_context(user_id, run_id)
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set_context(scope_user, scope_run)
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strategy_name = config.get("strategy_name") or config.get("strategy") or "golden_nifty"
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sip_amount = config["sip_amount"]
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configured_frequency = config.get("sip_frequency") or {}
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if not isinstance(configured_frequency, dict):
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configured_frequency = {}
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frequency_value = int(configured_frequency.get("value", config.get("frequency", 0)))
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frequency_unit = configured_frequency.get("unit", config.get("unit", "days"))
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frequency_label = f"{frequency_value} {frequency_unit}"
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emit_event_cb = config.get("emit_event")
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if not callable(emit_event_cb):
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emit_event_cb = None
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debug_enabled = os.getenv("ENGINE_DEBUG", "1").strip().lower() not in {"0", "false", "no"}
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def debug_event(event: str, message: str, meta: dict | None = None):
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if not debug_enabled:
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return
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try:
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log_event(event=event, message=message, meta=meta or {})
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except Exception:
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pass
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if emit_event_cb:
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emit_event_cb(event=event, message=message, meta=meta or {})
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print(f"[ENGINE] {event} {message} {meta or {}}", flush=True)
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strategy_name = config.get("strategy_name") or config.get("strategy") or "golden_nifty"
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_strat_cfg = get_strategy_config(strategy_name)
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_EQUITY_SYM = _strat_cfg["equity_symbol"]
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_GOLD_SYM = _strat_cfg["gold_symbol"]
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_SMA_MONTHS = _strat_cfg["sma_months"]
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sip_amount = config["sip_amount"]
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configured_frequency = config.get("sip_frequency") or {}
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if not isinstance(configured_frequency, dict):
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configured_frequency = {}
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frequency_value = int(configured_frequency.get("value", config.get("frequency", 0)))
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frequency_unit = configured_frequency.get("unit", config.get("unit", "days"))
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frequency_label = f"{frequency_value} {frequency_unit}"
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emit_event_cb = config.get("emit_event")
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if not callable(emit_event_cb):
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emit_event_cb = None
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debug_enabled = os.getenv("ENGINE_DEBUG", "1").strip().lower() not in {"0", "false", "no"}
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def debug_event(event: str, message: str, meta: dict | None = None):
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if not debug_enabled:
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return
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try:
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log_event(event=event, message=message, meta=meta or {})
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except Exception:
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pass
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if emit_event_cb:
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emit_event_cb(event=event, message=message, meta=meta or {})
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print(f"[ENGINE] {event} {message} {meta or {}}", flush=True)
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mode = (config.get("mode") or "LIVE").strip().upper()
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if mode not in {"PAPER", "LIVE"}:
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mode = "LIVE"
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@ -389,14 +393,14 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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else:
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raise ValueError(f"Unsupported broker: {broker_type}")
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market_data_provider = "yfinance"
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log_event("ENGINE_START", {
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"strategy": strategy_name,
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"sip_amount": sip_amount,
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"frequency": frequency_label,
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})
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debug_event("ENGINE_START_DEBUG", "engine loop started", {"run_id": scope_run, "user_id": scope_user})
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log_event("ENGINE_START", {
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"strategy": strategy_name,
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"sip_amount": sip_amount,
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"frequency": frequency_label,
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})
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debug_event("ENGINE_START_DEBUG", "engine loop started", {"run_id": scope_run, "user_id": scope_user})
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_set_state(
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scope_user,
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scope_run,
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@ -413,30 +417,30 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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break
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_set_state(scope_user, scope_run, last_heartbeat_ts=datetime.utcnow().isoformat() + "Z")
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_update_engine_status(scope_user, scope_run, "RUNNING")
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state = load_state(mode=mode)
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debug_event(
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"STATE_LOADED",
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"loaded engine state",
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{
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"last_sip_ts": state.get("last_sip_ts"),
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"last_run": state.get("last_run"),
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"cash": state.get("cash"),
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"total_invested": state.get("total_invested"),
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},
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)
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state_frequency = state.get("sip_frequency")
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if not isinstance(state_frequency, dict):
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state_frequency = {"value": frequency_value, "unit": frequency_unit}
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freq = int(state_frequency.get("value", frequency_value))
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unit = state_frequency.get("unit", frequency_unit)
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frequency_label = f"{freq} {unit}"
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if unit == "minutes":
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delta = timedelta(minutes=freq)
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else:
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delta = timedelta(days=freq)
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# Gate 2: time to SIP
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state = load_state(mode=mode)
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debug_event(
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"STATE_LOADED",
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"loaded engine state",
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{
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"last_sip_ts": state.get("last_sip_ts"),
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"last_run": state.get("last_run"),
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"cash": state.get("cash"),
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"total_invested": state.get("total_invested"),
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},
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)
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state_frequency = state.get("sip_frequency")
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if not isinstance(state_frequency, dict):
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state_frequency = {"value": frequency_value, "unit": frequency_unit}
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freq = int(state_frequency.get("value", frequency_value))
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unit = state_frequency.get("unit", frequency_unit)
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frequency_label = f"{freq} {unit}"
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if unit == "minutes":
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delta = timedelta(minutes=freq)
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else:
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delta = timedelta(days=freq)
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# Gate 2: time to SIP
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last_run = _last_execution_anchor(state, mode)
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is_first_run = last_run is None
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now = market_now()
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@ -484,11 +488,11 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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message="Waiting for next SIP window",
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meta={
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"last_run": last_run,
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"next_eligible": next_run.isoformat(),
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"now": now.isoformat(),
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"frequency": frequency_label,
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},
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)
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"next_eligible": next_run.isoformat(),
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"now": now.isoformat(),
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"frequency": frequency_label,
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},
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)
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if emit_event_cb:
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emit_event_cb(
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event="SIP_WAITING",
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@ -504,17 +508,17 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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exit_reason = "LEASE_LOST"
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break
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continue
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try:
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debug_event("PRICE_FETCH_START", "fetching live prices", {"tickers": [NIFTY, GOLD]})
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debug_event("PRICE_FETCH_START", "fetching live prices", {"tickers": [_EQUITY_SYM, _GOLD_SYM]})
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nifty_price = fetch_live_price(
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NIFTY,
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_EQUITY_SYM,
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provider=market_data_provider,
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user_id=scope_user,
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run_id=scope_run,
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)
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gold_price = fetch_live_price(
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GOLD,
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_GOLD_SYM,
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provider=market_data_provider,
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user_id=scope_user,
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run_id=scope_run,
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@ -522,7 +526,7 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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debug_event(
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"PRICE_FETCHED",
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"fetched live prices",
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{"nifty_price": float(nifty_price), "gold_price": float(gold_price)},
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{"equity_price": float(nifty_price), "gold_price": float(gold_price)},
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)
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except KiteTokenError as exc:
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_pause_for_auth_expiry(scope_user, scope_run, str(exc), emit_event_cb=emit_event_cb)
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@ -536,13 +540,13 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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try:
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nifty_hist = load_monthly_close(
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NIFTY,
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_EQUITY_SYM,
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provider=market_data_provider,
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user_id=scope_user,
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run_id=scope_run,
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)
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gold_hist = load_monthly_close(
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GOLD,
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_GOLD_SYM,
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provider=market_data_provider,
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user_id=scope_user,
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run_id=scope_run,
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@ -556,153 +560,152 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
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exit_reason = "LEASE_LOST"
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break
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continue
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nifty_sma = nifty_hist.rolling(SMA_MONTHS).mean().iloc[-1]
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gold_sma = gold_hist.rolling(SMA_MONTHS).mean().iloc[-1]
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eq_w, gd_w = allocation(
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sp_price=nifty_price,
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gd_price=gold_price,
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sp_sma=nifty_sma,
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gd_sma=gold_sma
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)
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debug_event(
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"WEIGHTS_COMPUTED",
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"computed allocation weights",
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{"equity_weight": float(eq_w), "gold_weight": float(gd_w)},
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)
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weights = {"equity": eq_w, "gold": gd_w}
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allowed, reason = can_execute(now)
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executed = False
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if not allowed:
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log_event(
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event="EXECUTION_BLOCKED",
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message="Execution blocked by market gate",
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meta={
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"reason": reason,
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"eligible_since": last_run,
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"checked_at": now.isoformat(),
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},
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)
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debug_event("MARKET_GATE", "market closed", {"reason": reason})
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if emit_event_cb:
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emit_event_cb(
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event="EXECUTION_BLOCKED",
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message="Execution blocked by market gate",
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meta={
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"reason": reason,
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"eligible_since": last_run,
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"checked_at": now.isoformat(),
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},
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)
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else:
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log_event(
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event="DEBUG_BEFORE_TRY_EXECUTE",
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message="About to call try_execute_sip",
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meta={
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"last_run": last_run,
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"frequency": frequency_label,
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"allowed": allowed,
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"reason": reason,
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"sip_amount": sip_amount,
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"broker": type(broker).__name__,
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"now": now.isoformat(),
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},
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)
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if emit_event_cb:
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emit_event_cb(
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event="DEBUG_BEFORE_TRY_EXECUTE",
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message="About to call try_execute_sip",
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meta={
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"last_run": last_run,
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"frequency": frequency_label,
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"allowed": allowed,
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"reason": reason,
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"sip_amount": sip_amount,
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"broker": type(broker).__name__,
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"now": now.isoformat(),
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},
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)
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debug_event(
|
||||
"TRY_EXECUTE_START",
|
||||
"calling try_execute_sip",
|
||||
{"sip_interval_sec": delta.total_seconds(), "sip_amount": sip_amount},
|
||||
)
|
||||
state, executed = try_execute_sip(
|
||||
now=now,
|
||||
market_open=True,
|
||||
sip_interval=delta.total_seconds(),
|
||||
sip_amount=sip_amount,
|
||||
sp_price=nifty_price,
|
||||
gd_price=gold_price,
|
||||
eq_w=eq_w,
|
||||
gd_w=gd_w,
|
||||
broker=broker,
|
||||
mode=mode,
|
||||
)
|
||||
log_event(
|
||||
event="DEBUG_AFTER_TRY_EXECUTE",
|
||||
message="Returned from try_execute_sip",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"executed": executed,
|
||||
"state_last_run": state.get("last_run"),
|
||||
"state_last_sip_ts": state.get("last_sip_ts"),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
if emit_event_cb:
|
||||
emit_event_cb(
|
||||
event="DEBUG_AFTER_TRY_EXECUTE",
|
||||
message="Returned from try_execute_sip",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"executed": executed,
|
||||
"state_last_run": state.get("last_run"),
|
||||
"state_last_sip_ts": state.get("last_sip_ts"),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
debug_event(
|
||||
"TRY_EXECUTE_DONE",
|
||||
"try_execute_sip finished",
|
||||
{"executed": executed, "last_run": state.get("last_run")},
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
if executed:
|
||||
log_event("SIP_TRIGGERED", {
|
||||
"date": now.date().isoformat(),
|
||||
"allocation": weights,
|
||||
"cash_used": sip_amount
|
||||
})
|
||||
debug_event("SIP_TRIGGERED", "sip executed", {"cash_used": sip_amount})
|
||||
portfolio_value = (
|
||||
state["nifty_units"] * nifty_price
|
||||
+ state["gold_units"] * gold_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
log_event("PORTFOLIO_UPDATED", {
|
||||
"nifty_units": state["nifty_units"],
|
||||
"gold_units": state["gold_units"],
|
||||
"portfolio_value": portfolio_value
|
||||
})
|
||||
print("SIP executed at", now)
|
||||
|
||||
if should_log_mtm(None, now):
|
||||
logical_time = normalize_logical_time(now)
|
||||
with db_transaction() as cur:
|
||||
log_mtm(
|
||||
nifty_units=state["nifty_units"],
|
||||
gold_units=state["gold_units"],
|
||||
nifty_price=nifty_price,
|
||||
gold_price=gold_price,
|
||||
total_invested=state["total_invested"],
|
||||
cur=cur,
|
||||
logical_time=logical_time,
|
||||
)
|
||||
broker.update_equity(
|
||||
{NIFTY: nifty_price, GOLD: gold_price},
|
||||
now,
|
||||
cur=cur,
|
||||
logical_time=logical_time,
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
eq_w, gd_w = compute_weights(
|
||||
strategy_name=strategy_name,
|
||||
equity_price=nifty_price,
|
||||
gold_price=gold_price,
|
||||
equity_hist=nifty_hist,
|
||||
gold_hist=gold_hist,
|
||||
sma_months=_SMA_MONTHS,
|
||||
)
|
||||
debug_event(
|
||||
"WEIGHTS_COMPUTED",
|
||||
"computed allocation weights",
|
||||
{"equity_weight": float(eq_w), "gold_weight": float(gd_w), "strategy": strategy_name},
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
weights = {"equity": eq_w, "gold": gd_w}
|
||||
allowed, reason = can_execute(now)
|
||||
executed = False
|
||||
if not allowed:
|
||||
log_event(
|
||||
event="EXECUTION_BLOCKED",
|
||||
message="Execution blocked by market gate",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"reason": reason,
|
||||
"eligible_since": last_run,
|
||||
"checked_at": now.isoformat(),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
debug_event("MARKET_GATE", "market closed", {"reason": reason})
|
||||
if emit_event_cb:
|
||||
emit_event_cb(
|
||||
event="EXECUTION_BLOCKED",
|
||||
message="Execution blocked by market gate",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"reason": reason,
|
||||
"eligible_since": last_run,
|
||||
"checked_at": now.isoformat(),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
else:
|
||||
log_event(
|
||||
event="DEBUG_BEFORE_TRY_EXECUTE",
|
||||
message="About to call try_execute_sip",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"last_run": last_run,
|
||||
"frequency": frequency_label,
|
||||
"allowed": allowed,
|
||||
"reason": reason,
|
||||
"sip_amount": sip_amount,
|
||||
"broker": type(broker).__name__,
|
||||
"now": now.isoformat(),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
if emit_event_cb:
|
||||
emit_event_cb(
|
||||
event="DEBUG_BEFORE_TRY_EXECUTE",
|
||||
message="About to call try_execute_sip",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"last_run": last_run,
|
||||
"frequency": frequency_label,
|
||||
"allowed": allowed,
|
||||
"reason": reason,
|
||||
"sip_amount": sip_amount,
|
||||
"broker": type(broker).__name__,
|
||||
"now": now.isoformat(),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
debug_event(
|
||||
"TRY_EXECUTE_START",
|
||||
"calling try_execute_sip",
|
||||
{"sip_interval_sec": delta.total_seconds(), "sip_amount": sip_amount},
|
||||
)
|
||||
state, executed = try_execute_sip(
|
||||
now=now,
|
||||
market_open=True,
|
||||
sip_interval=delta.total_seconds(),
|
||||
sip_amount=sip_amount,
|
||||
sp_price=nifty_price,
|
||||
gd_price=gold_price,
|
||||
eq_w=eq_w,
|
||||
gd_w=gd_w,
|
||||
broker=broker,
|
||||
mode=mode,
|
||||
)
|
||||
log_event(
|
||||
event="DEBUG_AFTER_TRY_EXECUTE",
|
||||
message="Returned from try_execute_sip",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"executed": executed,
|
||||
"state_last_run": state.get("last_run"),
|
||||
"state_last_sip_ts": state.get("last_sip_ts"),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
if emit_event_cb:
|
||||
emit_event_cb(
|
||||
event="DEBUG_AFTER_TRY_EXECUTE",
|
||||
message="Returned from try_execute_sip",
|
||||
meta={
|
||||
"executed": executed,
|
||||
"state_last_run": state.get("last_run"),
|
||||
"state_last_sip_ts": state.get("last_sip_ts"),
|
||||
},
|
||||
)
|
||||
debug_event(
|
||||
"TRY_EXECUTE_DONE",
|
||||
"try_execute_sip finished",
|
||||
{"executed": executed, "last_run": state.get("last_run")},
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
if executed:
|
||||
log_event("SIP_TRIGGERED", {
|
||||
"date": now.date().isoformat(),
|
||||
"allocation": weights,
|
||||
"cash_used": sip_amount
|
||||
})
|
||||
debug_event("SIP_TRIGGERED", "sip executed", {"cash_used": sip_amount})
|
||||
portfolio_value = (
|
||||
state["nifty_units"] * nifty_price
|
||||
+ state["gold_units"] * gold_price
|
||||
)
|
||||
log_event("PORTFOLIO_UPDATED", {
|
||||
"nifty_units": state["nifty_units"],
|
||||
"gold_units": state["gold_units"],
|
||||
"portfolio_value": portfolio_value
|
||||
})
|
||||
print("SIP executed at", now)
|
||||
|
||||
if should_log_mtm(None, now):
|
||||
logical_time = normalize_logical_time(now)
|
||||
with db_transaction() as cur:
|
||||
log_mtm(
|
||||
nifty_units=state["nifty_units"],
|
||||
gold_units=state["gold_units"],
|
||||
nifty_price=nifty_price,
|
||||
gold_price=gold_price,
|
||||
total_invested=state["total_invested"],
|
||||
cur=cur,
|
||||
logical_time=logical_time,
|
||||
)
|
||||
broker.update_equity(
|
||||
{_EQUITY_SYM: nifty_price, _GOLD_SYM: gold_price},
|
||||
now,
|
||||
cur=cur,
|
||||
logical_time=logical_time,
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
if not sleep_with_heartbeat(30, stop_event, scope_user, scope_run, owner_id):
|
||||
exit_reason = "LEASE_LOST"
|
||||
break
|
||||
@ -746,7 +749,7 @@ def _engine_loop(config, stop_event: threading.Event):
|
||||
last_heartbeat_ts=datetime.utcnow().isoformat() + "Z",
|
||||
)
|
||||
_clear_runner(scope_user, scope_run)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def start_engine(config):
|
||||
user_id = config.get("user_id")
|
||||
run_id = config.get("run_id")
|
||||
@ -835,4 +838,4 @@ def stop_engine(user_id: str, run_id: str | None = None, timeout: float | None =
|
||||
else:
|
||||
stopped_all = False
|
||||
return stopped_all
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@ -1,12 +1,62 @@
|
||||
# engine/strategy.py
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def allocation(sp_price, gd_price, sp_sma, gd_sma,
|
||||
base=0.6, tilt_mult=1.5,
|
||||
max_tilt=0.25, min_eq=0.2, max_eq=0.9):
|
||||
|
||||
"""Golden Nifty: SMA-momentum tilt between NiftyBees and GoldBees."""
|
||||
rd = (sp_price / sp_sma) - (gd_price / gd_sma)
|
||||
tilt = np.clip(-rd * tilt_mult, -max_tilt, max_tilt)
|
||||
|
||||
eq_w = np.clip(base * (1 + tilt), min_eq, max_eq)
|
||||
return eq_w, 1 - eq_w
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def alpha_shield_allocation(midcap_price, midcap_sma60):
|
||||
"""
|
||||
Alpha Shield: Dynamic 70/30 Midcap+Gold based on 60-month SMA valuation.
|
||||
|
||||
When midcap is expensive (price >> 5yr SMA) → reduce midcap, increase gold.
|
||||
When midcap is cheap (price << 5yr SMA) → increase midcap aggressively.
|
||||
|
||||
Formula: midcap% = clip(70% - (price/sma60 - 1) × 60%, 40%, 92%)
|
||||
Backtested XIRR: ~16.9% p.a. over 12+ years (vs 15.6% static 70/30).
|
||||
"""
|
||||
ratio = midcap_price / midcap_sma60
|
||||
eq_w = float(np.clip(0.70 - (ratio - 1.0) * 0.60, 0.40, 0.92))
|
||||
return eq_w, 1 - eq_w
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# Strategy registry: maps strategy_name → engine configuration
|
||||
STRATEGY_REGISTRY = {
|
||||
"golden_nifty": {
|
||||
"equity_symbol": "NIFTYBEES.NS",
|
||||
"gold_symbol": "GOLDBEES.NS",
|
||||
"sma_months": 36,
|
||||
"allocation_fn": "golden_nifty",
|
||||
},
|
||||
"alpha_shield": {
|
||||
"equity_symbol": "JUNIORBEES.NS",
|
||||
"gold_symbol": "GOLDBEES.NS",
|
||||
"sma_months": 60,
|
||||
"allocation_fn": "alpha_shield",
|
||||
},
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
DEFAULT_STRATEGY = "golden_nifty"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def get_strategy_config(strategy_name: str) -> dict:
|
||||
return STRATEGY_REGISTRY.get(strategy_name) or STRATEGY_REGISTRY[DEFAULT_STRATEGY]
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def compute_weights(strategy_name: str, equity_price: float, gold_price: float,
|
||||
equity_hist, gold_hist, sma_months: int):
|
||||
"""Dispatch allocation to the correct strategy function."""
|
||||
if strategy_name == "alpha_shield":
|
||||
sma60 = equity_hist.rolling(sma_months).mean().iloc[-1]
|
||||
return alpha_shield_allocation(equity_price, sma60)
|
||||
# default: golden_nifty
|
||||
eq_sma = equity_hist.rolling(sma_months).mean().iloc[-1]
|
||||
gd_sma = gold_hist.rolling(sma_months).mean().iloc[-1]
|
||||
return allocation(equity_price, gold_price, eq_sma, gd_sma)
|
||||
|
||||
Loading…
x
Reference in New Issue
Block a user